Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.446302 1.648738 1.869011 2.126460 2.419104 2.741420 3.123390
2025-11-02 1.122787 1.396153 1.719772 2.131042 2.639855 3.248883 4.033684
2025-11-09 0.920263 1.215513 1.586092 2.085204 2.740009 3.570231 4.703883
2025-11-16 0.799519 1.109659 1.518056 2.094935 2.889038 3.944450 5.455578
2025-11-23 0.714578 1.035385 1.475795 2.124157 3.054664 4.342922 6.264823
2025-11-30 0.634465 0.955534 1.413093 2.112168 3.153691 4.649402 6.964510
2025-12-07 0.560686 0.874858 1.338183 2.070535 3.199624 4.876282 7.560358
2025-12-14 0.494622 0.797586 1.258810 2.011205 3.208620 5.042794 8.072166
2025-12-21 0.446833 0.743048 1.207604 1.988126 3.267726 5.285454 8.716637
2025-12-28 0.424748 0.727038 1.214536 2.056605 3.476085 5.776073 9.795701
2026-01-04 0.386715 0.680475 1.167012 2.029948 3.523787 6.007874 10.464032
2026-01-11 0.366981 0.662905 1.165576 2.079784 3.702780 6.468824 11.555046
2026-01-18 0.334094 0.622239 1.126344 2.070382 3.796295 6.823208 12.551802
2026-01-25 0.305776 0.587389 1.094973 2.074059 3.917973 7.246734 13.732557
2026-02-01 0.274413 0.542989 1.041087 2.029464 3.944486 7.498562 14.618709
2026-02-08 0.253824 0.516676 1.017630 2.038936 4.072154 7.946534 15.917215
2026-02-15 0.237717 0.497242 1.004983 2.067382 4.238207 8.480961 17.434772
2026-02-22 0.218874 0.470063 0.974125 2.055712 4.322165 8.861776 18.681224
2026-03-01 0.199124 0.438739 0.931563 2.015184 4.342111 9.114974 19.688727
2026-03-08 0.179880 0.406328 0.883352 1.957431 4.319304 9.276975 20.518046
2026-03-15 0.165755 0.383558 0.853119 1.934965 4.369217 9.594147 21.710092
2026-03-22 0.160261 0.379549 0.862965 2.001624 4.620959 10.365092 23.975475
2026-03-29 0.147990 0.358597 0.833187 1.975675 4.661662 10.677757 25.238613